The Bullroarer - Sunday 21 September 2008

Manawatu Standard - Electric cars wait in the wings

New Zealand and the rest of the world have been living in a 100-year oil "blip" that is about to end, said Mike Duke, speaking in Palmerston North last night as part of the 2008 Pickering Lecture series. While predictions had been made that the oil age would be over by the end of the century, he said it would come much sooner than that.

In his lecture to nearly 100 people at Te Manawa he outlined the development of a new wave of electric car variants which he believes will help end oil's hold on society. "We will be facing serious changes in the future and we have to look now at how we are going to overcome them," he said.

ABC - Australian farmers go green as petrol prices rise

KERRY OBRIEN: High petrol prices are hitting everyone but many farmers are copping a double hit. They're also dealing with rising prices for fertilisers made from petroleum. The increased costs are providing added incentive for some farmers to consider alternatives like organic and bio dynamic farming. Aside from the cost factor, chemical free farming has a clean, green marketing appeal. As Hamish Fitzsimmons reports.

HAMISH FITZSIMMONS, JOURNALIST: Farmers from all over Victoria have come to this 97 hectare dairy farm in Gippsland to learn about chemical free bio dynamic farming.

MATT MAHONEY, FARMER: There's a huge them and us attitude in our farming scene. The conventional people think organic people are just witches and strange at times and don't even wanna hear what they've got to say.

HAMISH FITZSIMMONS: But with the cost of petroleum and, therefore, fertiliser soaring, some farmers are being forced to listen.


The Age - Over 70% of NSW now in drought

Drought conditions have worsened in NSW, with more than 70 per cent of the state now officially drought-declared. Figures released by the NSW Department of Primary Industries on Saturday show just 10.8 per cent of the state, mostly on the eastern coastline, has enjoyed normal rainfall, and was rated as "satisfactory" in September.

SMH - The coal conundrum. A semi back-flip on clean coal, though at least he is suggesting the coal companies pay for it.

Tim Flannery's acknowledgement that the world is too far down the path to dump coal as an energy source will surprise many who have followed his warnings on climate change. ...

Coal exports are said to be worth $23 billion annually to Australia's economy. If a surcharge of just 10 per cent was placed on such exports (and who would consider that unreasonable in light of the GST we all pay?), a war chest of $12 billion could be built up in only five years.

If clean coal is to become a reality, this is the sort of money required, and it's morally right that the coal companies, rather than the Australian public, should pay it. Following this, Australia could pool its funds with reliable partners such as the German utility RWE, whose 450-megawatt power plant is scheduled for commissioning in 2014, to really speed progress towards a clean coal solution.

One other aspect of clean coal technology is worth touching on: the reliance on appropriate geological structures to store CO2 underground. Where such structures exist near coal-fired power plants, the cost of clean coal will be much reduced. If, however, we envisage replacing every conventional coal-fired plant on earth with clean coal, things look very different, for the amount of pipeline infrastructure required to do this is staggeringly large.

Indeed, it probably rivals the entire existing pipeline infrastructure deployed by the oil and gas industries. The required pipelines cannot be in place by 2030. Of course, this kind of argument could be applied to any energy technology that requires rapid ramping up, as all face severe bottlenecks of one sort or another. I merely note it here to make the point that clean coal technologies can never be a complete, worldwide replacement for existing coal facilities. Globally, renewable energy will have to take a significant portion of conventional coal's market share.

The Australian - Gorgon moves on with Clough deal

US oil major Chevron has awarded a $300 million contract to Clough and its partners to finalise engineering and design studies for the massive Gorgon liquefied natural gas project offshore from Western Australia.

The Australian - Santos extends into WA gas field

SANTOS has bought a permit in the Spar gas field from the Gorgon Project joint venture participants for an undisclosed sum. The WA-4-R permit contains the majority of the undeveloped Spar gas field offshore in Western Australia, estimated to contain a gas resource of up to 600 petajoules with associated condensate of up to 8 million barrels, Santos said.

ABC - Government invests in clean coal technology

The Federal Government will pour millions of dollars each year into a global institute for carbon capture and storage. The announcement comes after a project in Queensland, which was to use carbon capture, was scrapped becuase of funding problems.

The Age - EPA places dozens of city landfills on notice. A shameful waste of biogas.

The landfills, mostly former council tips that received putrescible domestic waste, are dotted across metropolitan Melbourne from Frankston in the south to Craigieburn in the north, through growth corridors such as Cranbourne, Epping and Melton, in more established suburbs such as Box Hill, Northcote and Mount Eliza and the Dorset Golf Course in Croydon.

But in the wake of the Brookland Greens methane scandal, the EPA yesterday refused to identify which landfills were unlined and therefore more likely to leach liquid waste or potentially dangerous gases. Brookland Greens residents, whose houses are located within 200 metres of a former Cranbourne landfill, have been told to abandon their homes for fear of possible methane gas explosions. The methane had escaped from the neighbouring Stevensons Road landfill, which was never lined with clay because its 1996 licence did not require it.

The Age - Transport experts cool on car-pooling plan

THE State Government is expected to launch a major car-pooling offensive in its November transport plan, arguing that Melbourne's chronic traffic congestion could be permanently reduced to school holiday levels if enough commuters took it up. But transport academics believe the push will be futile and say that car pooling, while worthwhile, can never match better public transport.

The Australian - Rio teams up with Atlas and GE for future mine technology

RIO Tinto has formed separate alliances with Atlas Copco and General Electric to develop new technology and energy efficient solutions.

The Australian - TLG knocked back tied gas supply in WA

BUSINESSES affected by the West Australian Varanus Island gas pipeline explosion were offered alternative supply arrangements by the former state government on condition they gave up their rights to future claims against suppliers, The Laminex Group (TLG) has told the senate.

Peak Energy - Futurists And Peak Oil

I noticed a pair of futurists talking about peak oil today - first Richard Watson in The Daily Telegraph, as part of a grab bag of predictions - Futurologist Richard Watson's 2050 vision: goodbye Belgium, hello brain transplants. ... Next up is Peter Schwartz, who doesn't believe in peak oil (presumably he means he doesn't believe we are at peak oil, rather than believing oil supply will never peak) and told a Cleantech conference so - as well as pointing out that most of them didn't have experience in the energy industry (personally I don't view this as a big deal, as an oil industry background is unlikely to be of much benefit to a cleantech entrepreneur) - Peak oil "wrong," says Schwartz.

Schwartz is one of the scenario planners I talked about in "The Limits To Scenario Planning", with a background at both Shell's scenario planning division and GBN. He was also the author of Wired's infamous "long boom" article and a strong proponent of the hydrogen economy (we're still waiting for that one Pete).

While I often agree (or at least sympathise) with his point of view, in this case he seems to be misunderstanding the important aspects of "real world" peak oil, which are based on past discoveries, flow rates and EROI - if you aren't finding (and developing) large quantities of oil (fast enough to replace production lost through depletion of existing fields and to meet new demand growth), then it doesn't matter if there could be a lot of oil under the Atlantic ocean which could be extracted at high cost (and with long lead times). For that matter there is a lot of oil sitting under Iraq which would in theory let us peak around 6 million barrels or so a day higher than current production - if it was being extracted - but the fact remains that this isn't happening.

Peak Energy - Made For Each Other: A National Electricity Grid And Renewable Energy

Peak Energy - Google And GE Team Up On Smart Grids

Peak Energy - World’s Largest Solar Energy Project Planned for Gujarat, India

Peak Energy - The Wisdom of Public Prediction Markets And The Limits Of Statistics

Peak Energy - There's Gold In Them Thar Landfills

Peak Energy - Testing The Tide In New York

Peak Energy - Tesla Motors To Build Manufacturing Plant In San Jose

Peak Energy - Self Medicating Forests

Peak Energy - Capitalist Socialism

Gav,could we be so lucky as to have 'pitchfork moments",in Australia as well as the US.Unfortunately we and they have a population where numb bums predominate.

From my reading there are quite a lot of informed people in the US who are extremely concerned and very angry about this bailout and it's ramifications.Some are likening it to post 9/11 when the resulting sense of crisis enabled very bad legislation and the likes of Afganistan/Iraq.Some conspiracy talk but maybe more due to stupidity,greed and an ideological straitjacket.

I see KRudd has just flown off to Washington to get his instructions from Paulson et al.Funny thing is,very few of the commentators in Australia(apart from yourself)have picked up on this whole issue,to my limited knowledge.I suspect that what happens this week will have large repercussions for Australia and the commentariat are asleep at the wheel.

Re Tim Flannery - Bit of a question mark over that laddie.I just hope he hasn't succumbed to a little financial or other inducement from the coal industry/government.

Hi Thirra,

I heard Tim Flannery on the Sydney ABC radio this afternoon and he said a lot about biochar, which helped to make his thinking on carbon sequestration much more clear. He's on "Enough Rope" on ABC-TV tonight on the same topic.

One thing that I thought was really cool was the concept of a "Char-vester" a crop harvester that brings in the crop, processes the agriwaste to biochar, runs itself of the resultant generator gas, and spreads the biochar on the fields! Tim was at a biochar conference in Newcastle UK where apparently someone (Swedish?) has already got a prototype up and running!

Well - I certainly don't think we have any reason for a "pitchfork moment" here, and it wouldn't be the correct approach in the US either - especially now that Northcom has its own occupying units :-)

http://peakenergy.blogspot.com/2008/09/permanent-security-force-for-nort...

I think we've all got to accept that for the time being, the US is on its way to becoming something like 1970's Argentina, but with (lots of) nuclear weapons. Which is a great shame.

But you never know - maybe Obama will win and they'll find some way of moving forward again.

As for Flannery, here's the interview link:

http://www.abc.net.au/tv/enoughrope/transcripts/s2369164.htm
http://www.abc.net.au/tv/enoughrope/video/default.htm?program=enoughrope...

Re Tim Flannery - Bit of a question mark over that laddie.I just hope he hasn't succumbed to a little financial or other inducement from the coal industry/government.

Thirra, I saw Tim on Enough rope last night ad while he didn't give both barrels to coal, he did try to explore the resons for Big Coals transigence on the issue and also proposed one solution for funding CCS. He can't be a screaming fringe lunatic everywhere.

Not sure if we've got a Bullroarer on the way tonight, but here's one from last week featuring Adam from Energy Bulletin:

Melbourne Community Voice - Not so weedy now

Leading the charge against convention and tastebuds was the amiable Adam Grubb. The educated forager is, as it happens, a climate change thinker of note. Some time ago, he helped found The Energy Bulletin. This website remains a daily requisite for the globe’s Greener Than Thou. It’s easy to be beset by gloom when thinking about peak energy. And, frankly, The Energy Bulletin makes wusses like me want to run to the protection of the nearest bong. However, exercises like a Weed Walk don’t feel at all apocalyptic. This constitutional is a real and positive action.

“It’s about suburban adaptation to climate change,” says Grubb as he waves a spray of the stuff that I’ve been pulling out from under my rose bushes for years. The stuff is chickweed. Apparently it’s edible and medicinal. It can be used as a circulatory tonic, a cure for constipation, and cooked in a soup. It boasts more phyto-nutrients than I’ve had hot bongs and, according to many weed enthusiasts, tastes better than spinach.

To be candid, I’ve not yet ventured to the garden bed and gaily gathered posies. This is due, in part, to my tabby cat’s penchant for crapping in precisely that part of the garden. But it’s also due to my reluctance to begin what Grubb calls, “A weeding of the mind”.