The Bullroarer - Thursday 3 July 2008

The Age - Emergency fleets hit by fuel prices

RISING petrol prices have forced some of Victoria's emergency services to seek extra funding from the State Government or tap into their budget surpluses to keep their vehicles on the road.

Ian Dunlop (New Matilda) - Oils Ain't Spoils

In the furore over increasing oil prices, there are two words our political and corporate leaders seem determined not to mention: Peak Oil

Having built our prosperity on cheap energy from fossil fuels, particularly oil, it is perhaps understandable that they cannot bring themselves to admit that business-as-usual is over as cheap energy disappears - firstly due to the need to address global warming, and secondly due to the peaking of global oil supply which will probably have even greater impact than global warming in the short term.

McKinsey Quarterly - Interview with Amory Lovins

I don’t think most executives realize that a sixth of the world’s electricity and a third of new electricity now come from micropower—by which I mean on-site or decentralized energy production, such as waste-heat or gas-fired cogeneration, wind and solar power, geothermal, small hydro, and waste- or biomass-fueled plants—rather than from central thermal stations. Micropower is beating the central model because it’s cheaper and has far lower financial risk; it now provides from one-sixth to over half of all electricity in 12 industrial countries. The United States lags with 6 percent.

What about the alleged nuclear renaissance? In 2006, nuclear’s added net capacity—1.44 gigawatts—was less than that of solar cells and a tenth that of wind power. Micropower added 43 to 58 gigawatts and surpassed nuclear’s output. Distributed renewables alone got $56 billion of private risk capital. Nuclear, as usual, got nothing: it’s only bought by central planners. The world now has more wind capacity than the United States has nuclear capacity. In addition, the United States in 2007 added more wind power than it has added coal power in the past five years combined—or than the world added nuclear power over the same period. For anybody who takes the market seriously, what part of that story don’t you understand? These market trends also are good for our climate because new nuclear power buys you two to ten times less coal displacement per dollar than does micropower or improved end-use efficiency, and at a pace that is significantly slower.


Ausra - Ausra Opens First U.S. Solar Thermal Power Factory

Ausra, the developer of utility-scale solar thermal power headquartered in Palo Alto, CA, today officially opened the reflector production line of its first North American manufacturing and distribution center in Las Vegas. The 130,000-square-foot, highly automated manufacturing and distribution center will supply the reflectors, absorber tubes, and other key components of the company's solar thermal power plants to the rapidly growing Southwestern solar power industry.

Dominion Post - Powering on with an eye to the future

Meridian Energy's new chief executive, Tim Lusk, runs an apparently green giant power business, from one of the most eco-friendly offices in Wellington.

Wanganui Chronicle - Wind farm planned for Moawhango

Meridian Energy is seeking permission to build a 52-turbine wind farm near Moawhango in the central North Island. The project, dubbed Central Wind, will be sited on five private properties on land governed by the Rangitikei and Ruapehu district councils. The farm would have a combined generating capacity of 120-130 megawatts  enough to power up to 50,000 average homes. Construction is likely to take 18-24 months.

Stuff.co.nz - Air NZ rides out fuel storm

Air NZ's bean counters are running scenarios of jet fuel at US$200 a barrel, asking at what point you park aircraft on the ground. ... Air NZ is trying to conserve fuel by flying its planes slower, using less flaps on landing to ease drag and taxiing on two engines instead of four.

Larvatus Prodeo - How to phase in emissions trading

The general view - and the one put in Garnaut’s discussion papers - is that we should generally try and cover as much of our total emissions under the scheme, as quickly as we can. But two of the Australian plogosphere’s favourite econobloggers - Joshua Gans and John Quiggin - have made a slightly contrary case in a submission to Garnaut (which you can download from here).

A section of their report called “The Need For Learning” makes the fair sensible point that we need to learn as much as possible about how emissions trading will work, as soon as possible. So they argue that the scheme should be introduced quickly. However, they argue that the learning issue actually suggests that we initially limit the scope of the emissions trading scheme to the emissions that are easiest to measure and trade - and, as a bonus, cleaning them up will have other nice side effects. The two they identify are electricity generation and transport emissions.

Larvatus Prodeo - Rudd set to implement popular emissions trading scheme

Crikey - Hamilton: Garnaut report is Rudd's greatest test

The release of the Garnaut report tomorrow provides the Rudd Government with an opportunity to stop campaigning and start governing. The auguries are mixed. For two weeks Prime Minister Rudd allowed himself to be sucked in to the vortex of petrol price populism, until he and his fellow ministers began to fight back against the unscrupulousness of the Opposition.

Rudd began testing his lines in Parliament, working out how to persuade the public to return to thinking about the future. It worked, putting Nelson and Turnbull on the back foot. They were forced to reaffirm that they are not climate sceptics and accept the science of global warming. That this had to happen only proves how antediluvian the climate debate is in this country compared to, say, Britain where the Tory leader David Cameron has positioned the conservatives as greener than Labour.

The Australian - BHP to plough $10bn into fertilisers

BHP Billiton chief executive Marius Kloppers has unveiled long-term plans to spend up to $US10 billion ($10.4 billion) moving into fertilisers in an attempt to benefit from growing global food demand amid limited farming land. Mr Kloppers, speaking in London last week, said BHP believed agricultural commodities were set to experience the same growth in prices as metals have and that the miner planned to capitalise on this by becoming a major player in Canadian potash, used to make fertiliser.

Herald Sun - Energy plan off target

DEVELOPERS of novel energy technologies yesterday had the wind taken out of their sails when the Federal Government released a discussion paper on its proposed Mandatory Renewable Energy Target that appears to plot a tentative course for renewables. The Government wants to encourage an electricity sector that generates 20 per cent of the nation's power needs from zero emission sources such as wind, solar, wave and geothermal energy by 2020.

By drip-feeding targets, as indicated in the paper's bar charts, the Government will be able to control the pace at which new zero-emission energy generation comes on stream. The apparent targets idle until 2015 before accelerating from 2016 to 2020, some time after which they will be dismantled.

SMH - Iemma turning Sydney into joke

COMMUTERS have long given up on the NSW Government over its transport record. Now an international transport leader says the Government's botched handling of the Tcard has left the state with a "very bad reputation". Sydney's disastrous six-year foray into integrated transport ticketing, which has deteriorated into a $200 million legal stoush between the Government and the Tcard contractor, ERG, has earned the city worldwide notoriety, according to the head of the International Association of Public Transport.

Peak Energy - Iemma The Annoying

SMH - Sydney's radioactive neighbourhood cover-up claim

The son of a Sydney couple who died from cancers says the NSW Health Department tried to cover up the results of radioactivity tests on their neighbourhood. Greg McGrath today told a NSW inquiry into the site that he had seen Department of Health letters saying results of radioactive tests on the property where his family lived should be kept from the public.

The parents of Mr McGrath and his sister Katie died from radiation-related cancers in the 1970s while living in Nelson Parade in the Sydney North Shore suburb of Hunters Hill - the former site of a uranium smelter. They were in their 30s when they died within nine months of each other.

SMH - Moving north not such a hot idea

SHIFTING irrigation agriculture from the parched Murray-Darling Basin to Australia's wet tropical north would be a "risky business", the co-author of a new CSIRO climate change report warned yesterday. Hotter temperatures in the tropical warm-season wet zone would leave crops and livestock almost constantly heat stressed, said Mark Howden from the CSIRO's Climate Adaptation Flagship.

Adelaide University - Geothermal energy support heats up

The University of Adelaide has welcomed today's announcement by the State Government offering further support to fast-track research and development of geothermal technology. The State Government has today announced a further $250,000 towards geothermal energy research. This follows $250,000 provided last year to help develop an international research facility into geothermal (also known as "hot rock") energy within the University, working with Geoscience Australia, the CSIRO, and the university research members of the Australian Geothermal Energy Group.

The University has this week signed an agreement with the State Government to help accelerate R&D of geothermal resources in South Australia. "Today's announcement is another welcome step forward in ensuring that our expertise in geothermal research is recognised throughout Australia and internationally, with great potential benefits for industry and the community," says Professor Richard Russell, Pro Vice-Chancellor (Research Operations).

The Australian - Bio-plastic interest grows on oil fears

OIL prices reaching nearly $US140 a barrel are transforming the economics of the global plastics industry as producers start pouring billions of dollars into plant-based alternatives. Some of the world's largest chemical companies, including DuPont, Dow Chemical, Cargill and Braskem, are now accelerating their production of bio-plastics made from crops including sugarcane, corn, maize and wood.

ABC (Radio Australia) - Calls for increased Asian geothermal investment

Analysts are calling on countries in Asia to increase investment in geothermal power, to counter high energy prices which continue to stifle economic development. Geothermal energy is extracted from energy generated by intense heat beneath the earth's surface. A recent MIT report, found that the US alone has enough geothermal energy to supply the world's current needs for the next 30,000 years.

Reuters - Geothermal-rich SE Asia struggles to tap earth's power

Faced with looming energy crises in their developing economies, power-hungry Indonesia and the Philippines are looking deep into the earth for a solution. Both are in the so-called Pacific Ring of Fire, an area peppered with volcanoes and home to the world's biggest reservoir of geothermal power.

CNN - Ormat to build New Zealand geothermal plant

Ormat Technologies Inc. said Tuesday that Contact Energy Ltd. is paying it $42 million to build a geothermal plant in the center of New Zealand's North Island.

Peak Energy - The Empire Strikes Back: Killing Solar Power In The US

Peak Energy - BLM Moratorium Lifted

Peak Energy - A Tale Of Two Car Fleets

Peak Energy - CNG Vehicles In The US

Energy Bulletin - EB founder Adam Grubb quoted in Australian Parliament House debate

ABC - Rising seas threaten west Antarctic

There's a 'big gorilla hiding the closet' whose collapse could have a dramatic effect on sea levels, according to Australian researchers. Dr Bradley Opdyke, a paleoceanographer from the Australia National University (ANU) believes the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS) could partially collapse within 20 years, resulting in a dramatic jump in sea levels.

Dominion Post - The legacy of Nandor

Nine years after his colourful entrance to Parliament, Nandor Tanczos today farewells his colleagues. Martin Kay talks to the MP who, if nothing else, proved you should never judge a book by its cover. He has dreadlocks down to his ankles, regularly uses cannabis and cut his political teeth in the world of environmental activism and cruise missile protest camps.

His maiden speech to Parliament began with greetings in the name of the Creator, the Most High Jah Ras Tafari, he was stomped on by Melbourne cops during an anti-globalisation protest a few months later, and he is probably the only New Zealand MP investigated by police for drugs.

But beyond the turban and the wispy Bob Marley-style beard, the hemp suits and the skateboard, he has proved to be more earnest and bookish than the radical rabble-rouser many stereotyped him as. More bespectacled than wild-eyed, pensive rather than raving, Nandor Tanczos has turned out to be . . . well, a bit nerdy, really.

Nine years after he came into Parliament on the Greens' list, New Zealand's first Rastafarian MP will farewell his colleagues today and head to the trees to ponder where to next. Even those who most despised and feared his nonconformity - he came to Parliament strongly advocating cannabis law reform and direct-action protests - would have to concede he leaves behind a mild, even sensible, legacy.

NZ Herald - Nandor Shatters The Shackles Of Time

NZ Greens - Nandor Says Farewell (via Energy Bulletin

One more from NZ (Bay Chronicle) - Transition town gets moving

The Bay of Islands transition towns initiative got off to a roaring start last week with about 110 people packing the Wharepuke hall. It was clear there will be no shortage of people willing to climb on board the community campaign to become less wasteful and more economical. Kaitaia and Kohukohu are also making moves to join the transition town movement, which brings people together to explore how communities can respond to the twin challenges of climate change and peak oil.

I'll try and read these links tomorrow but just a quick comment now; as usual Lovins leaves out the bits that don't help his argument. All these micro this and thats have been completely dwarfed by increasing coal use in China in the last few years. Maybe he should go back to telling us hydrogen will be the big new energy source.

Also geothermal in NZ and Asian 'ring of fire' countries is volcanic, not granite fractured with dynamite. The rock is already water permeable and has a high heat flux, not a temporarily elevated temperature due to insulation by overlying rock.

Boof,

Just for the record, the granite fractures at Innamincka are natural. Geodynamics have achieved pressure connectivity between their wells without any artficial cracking being required. The actual geological processes that formed the resource are fascinating and give one a real sense of the passage of deep time in our ancient continent...
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/science/ockham/stories/s1440622.htm

That is an informative interview - thanks for posting the link.

I like his closing remarks :-)

Incidentally, British Nuclear Fuels provide a classic example of nuclear non-costing. The cleanup of their operations will cost UK taxpayers $US50-billion, and will be borne by an ad hoc Nuclear Decommissioning Authority. Needless to say the original idea of cheap, if not green, nuclear-generated electricity in the UK is now a sad joke.

Of British Nuclear Fuels’ environmental scandals, the latest is probably the juiciest: since August last year, highly radioactive nuclear fuel dissolved in nitric acid has leaked, creating an Olympic-size swimming pool of toxic liquid and containing enough plutonium to make 20 nuclear weapons.

In the short span of a few years Central Australia has flipped from being in the sights of British Nuclear Fuels to becoming a potential generator of baseload electricity for future generations of Australians.

Those who don't want to know any negative information about Lovins should certainly avoid reading Charles Barton's blog posts about him.

Given that Barton is, shall we say, a passionate holder of many very unusual views, I'd recommend avoiding reading anything written by him.

Read his crazed post at TOD Europe (and then about them, where he abused them for being nice enough to let him write a guest post) from a couple of months ago if you'd like confirmation.

Of course, his Dad did work at the ORNL, as he never tires of reminding everyone, so he does have a lot of "expertise" in the area.

Pro-nuclear can be a form of techno-optimism and certainly Mr Barton has a bad case, as you point out. This can lead to an intolerance of others. I'm going to keep trying hard to avoid that. I think the anti-nuclear case also suffers from techno-optimism, as we see in the Uni of Kassel video on youtube on how to survive with no baseload power. Nobody on the pro-nuclear side is trying to limit post-fossil fuel energy options. This is not the case on the anti-nuclear side. Those of us who haven't looked at the numbers and the facts have to come to our own conclusions based more on which experts seem more trustworthy. So this discussion of who seems to be trustworthy is quite relevant, if a little more personal than we would wish in a technical forum. [By the way, speaking of who seems trustworthy, my pick is Prof David MacKay. He is very left wing and pacificist, which fits my philosophy. His expertise is mathematical inference - he is head of the Inference group in the Physics dept at Cambridge. He has worked hard to use Bayesian inference and other skills in developing dasher: a text input system for disabled people who need control only one muscle - see the Google Tech video. The philosophy of "numbers not adjectives" and "modelling not arm-waving" seems crucial for getting the right answers to the Energy Crisis. And he's written a book on sustainable energy that is freely available (currently draft). So he's been game to put his numbers out there where they can be criticized.]

That's why part 1 of my 3 part program for addressing the Energy Crisis is: (1) Vigorous open expert investigation of all relevant facts. This includes potentially contradicting my other two points: (2) we can't afford to do climate change things which reduce our chances of getting through peak oil [like burning gas for electricity instead of coal]; and (3) nuclear energy is the core of post fossil fuel energy [after that runs out we've either got fusion (or deep geothermal or something I can't imagine) working or we're cactus]. This is based on the fact that there is no plausible account, that I know of, of running the world with diffuse and intermittent renewable energy. However see Option G in Prof MacKay's book. There are plausible accounts involving a large proportion of the world population dying. Some people seem comfortable with that, but at least I know that Prof MacKay wouldn't be.

Actually most nuclear advocates (not you personally) seem to be suffering from a form of reversalism from my viewpoint - a worldview that wants to return to the 1950's.

Solar power is the biggest available source of energy and will be the cheapest within a decade or two (large scale CSP is already cheaper than nuclear power if decommissioning costs are included - something the pro-nuclear camp always avoids).

It makes no sense to avoid making this the core of our future energy strategy and to instead try and base it on the crumbly foundation of nuclear which requires the extraction of a finite material with large attendant pollution, waste disposal and weapons proliferation issues (amongst others).

As for your comment about population, I've noted many times that there is no need for collapse, and I think the dieoff camp are, frankly, a bunch of ecofascist nuts - check out Jay Hanson's "War Socialism" site for a demonstration of why. By and large population crash doomers should be treated with extreme caution.

I think more people have already died of starvation as a result of PO than if it hadn't happened. Admittedly this is mainly due to a misguided response to it. Still I'm certain there'll be more, and the question is how bad it will be.

One of the problems that the nuclear power industry lives with is that the original designs, which are still with us, were developed with an eye to producing nuclear bombs as well. Safer designs were not pursued at that time, and not much has been done for 20 years. Granted that this is not a great time to be playing catchup. I guess a question that is going to be asked of anti-nuclear people over the next few years is: "Do you avoid going to France given that it is such a dangerous place with all that nuclear power?".

However, if I can somehow manage to avoid a self-contradictory position here, we need to avoid putting too much faith in techno fixes. We want to squeeze every drop out of stuff we know works. There is type I (autoimmune) diabetes in my family. We've been seeing "cure in 5 years" stories coming out for 25 years. Still waiting.

PO hasn't occurred yet, so people can't have died of starvation because of it. People have been dying of starvatyion ever since people existed - and they were dying in large numbers decades ago when both oil and food were plentiful.

We've been waiting for safe and clean nuclear power forever. I suspect we'll always be waiting.

Meanwhile we could be building large scale solar and wind power facilities right now, instead of talking about what we could possibly do to fix nuclear.

Re moving agriculture North-There may be some scope for this on a limited scale.The history of agriculture in the Northern Territory and the Kimberley is not filled with great success stories.That doesn't mean that it is not worth more effort.
It would be disastrous if the Booster's Club got onto it with irrigation megaschemes.Australia North of Capricorn is still in a relatively pristine state.I would be loath to see vast areas go the same way as the Murray Darling basin and the wheat belt of WA.
Re geothermal power - Geodynamics has a pilot scheme in the proving phase near Innamincka in the far NE of SA.They are planning to supply the little outpost on the Cooper with electricity by the end of 2008.They sure are looking forward to geting off the diesel generators. Geothermal is very expensive in the initial phase due to the cost of drilling to extreme depths and temperatures.But it has the potential to provide cheap, sustainable electricity for a very long time.With HVDC transmission it should be able to provide base load energy to major population centres.

thirra
I said on earlier post the Innamincka scheme will be a success if it is closed water loop split cycle, not a repeat of the once through single cycle Birdsville scheme. On HVDC remember Basslink cost $4m per kilometre. OK it was underwater.

I'll download Garnaut's new report for a ponder. 1st thought on TV prez ... I don't see how the economies of India and China will grow indefinitely as he assumes.

I've got high hopes for large scale geothermal power in the coming years - I did a detailed post on the subject last year :

http://anz.theoildrum.com/node/3215