An immodest proposal about fuel efficiency

This is a guest post by Kiashu, advocating an alternative to hypermiling.

Recently there have been a few articles on hypermiling - driving your car to make the most efficient use of fuel. They mention taking junk out of your car so it has less weight in it, not hitting the accelerator hard, and so on. What's remarkable is that none of these articles suggested, "don't drive". Not even "don't drive so much." So that is my immodest proposal: "Don't drive, or at least not so much." I realise that this is insane radicalism, but there you go.
"But I need to drive! I have no options!"
"Perhaps. But do you need to drive so much? Is every kilometre you drive essential?"


As noted by the World Health Organisation [1Mb pdf],
More than 30% of trips made in cars in Europe cover distances of less than 3 km and 50% less than 5 km. These distances can be covered within 15–20 minutes by bicycle or within 30–50 minutes by brisk walking.

The short journeys use up a disproportionate amount of fuel, so even if your six a week 5km trips to the shops are just 6x 5km = 30km of your weekly 200km of driving, they'll make up more than 30km/200km = 15% of your fuel use. This is because engines reach their peak efficiency after fifteen minutes or more of driving, and short journeys involve more stopping - your engine burning fuel for you to stay still is as inefficient as you can get.

Eliminating these short trips in your car can save you a lot of fuel, as well as improve your health. A little while ago a friend was explaining to me how he drove 1.5km to the train station every day. "If I walk, I get sweaty, I can't be sweaty in the office."
"Take off your tie! Put it on at work. And anyway, if you get sweaty with a 15 minute walk, then you need to walk more."
"No, I'm okay. I just need to get something more fuel-efficient, perhaps a motorbike."
The next week he told he'd been to the doctor. "He says I need to lose weight and walk more."
This, I think, a fairly common thing. Your arse widens to fit into the seat you sit in all day.

But as well as short trips, at least two-thirds of trips are discretionary. You can do without them. The following is the data of purpose of journey by car from 1992, the most recent year available for such data for Australia as a whole. [source, ABS]

  • Shopping, 25.7% of all trips, 13 minutes average trip time
  • Work, 22%, 31'
  • Social activities, 18.7%, 20'
  • Voluntary & community activities, 9.3%, 18'
  • Active leisure, 7.4%, 32'
  • Child care, 9%, 13'
  • Domestic activities, 5.4%, 16'
  • Education, 2%, 22'
  • Personal care, 0.5%, 16'
  • Passive leisure, 0.1%, 22'

We have here figures for the percentage of all trips taken for that purpose. The average time spent driving each day is 1hr27'. The average time per trip doesn't add up to this 87' because not every trip is done every day; but when the trip is taken, that's the average time of it.

Only about a third of trips (work, child care, and possibly education) are non-discretionary and more or less unavoidable, assuming zero public transport and not able to bike, walk, etc. The rest can be set aside ("passive leisure", driving just for fun) or rearranged for efficiency - shopping from distant shops can be done weekly all in one go, etc.

Next to how much you use the car it's irrelevant whether you keep an extra spare tyre in the back, hit the accelerator hard or not, and so on. It just doesn't matter. The most effective way to save fuel is not to drive.

I suggest a couple of experiments. Keep a logbook in your car, and over a month note each trip, start time, end time, odometer at start and finish, and the purpose of each trip - like in the table above. After that month sit down and look over your logbook. Figure out how many of your trips were discretionary - driving 1km to the shops, going for a Sunday drive, etc - and how many avoidable - you went to the shops for the fourth time this week, you could have taken the bus but got up late so had to drive to get there on time, that sort of thing. Now divide those trips into your monthly fuel bill. So you get a figure for how much you're spending on trips you didn't have to take.

This expense is only going to get greater. Peak fossil fuels is simply that over time demand for fossil fuels goes up while their supply goes down, so naturally the price leaps up. And any rational response to climate change means that the price of polluting will go up. So you couldn't be bothered walking to the shops, it was late and you had a long day. That trip may look fine at $1.50/litre fuel, but how about at $3/lt? $10/lt? That's $40 a gallon, by the way. If you say that it's still worth it, then next time you go to the pump, set aside that extra money you're willing to spend. Do that a few times, and see if you can really do without that extra cash and not spend it on something else. If so, I suggest the Red Cross. If not - well then it's time to stop those unnecessary trips.

Now the second experiment. For just one week don't use your car at all. Just imagine that it's broken and in the workshop. What do you do? Give up on life, quit your job, stay at home? Nope - you find a way to cope. After the week, imagine that you've just learned to fix it will cost more than you can afford at the moment - you won't have the money for another three weeks. Now what? Well, another three weeks go by... are you dead yet? Or did you find a way to cope?

So, here's my fuel-saving tips, my immodest proposal.

1. Get rid of your car.
2. Or at least, stop trips you could do some other way.

Radical ideas, I know. Probably communist or Islamofascist or something. But with peak fossil fuels and climate change, we're facing a radically new world whatever we do. We simply won't be able to keep on truckin'. May as well get used to it.

I think it's better to do by choice what is going to be forced on you one day anyway. It's better for me to do a light walk which is comfortable every day in my thirties than to not walk, have a heart attack at 58, open heart surgery, and then do a light walk which is very painful. It's better to live on less money than I earn (rather than spending it all or getting into debt) because one day I may earn less, and then I'll be used to it, or have savings to tide me over. It's better to grow a few pots of fruit and vegies now so that if food is really expensive later I can just grow more then, than it is to grow nothing now and have to learn it all very quickly later. Sharon Astyk recently noted that two-thirds of Americans "die in debt, in pain and alone." We should be able to do better than this, and a lot of it depends on how we choose to live our lives.

I was once taught the Seven P's: proper preparation and planning prevents piss-poor performance. We don't all have to rush out and live on our own self-sufficient homesteads, or form lobby groups to hassle the government, or anything like that. But as Edison said, we live like squatters, not as if we owned the property. We have to stop that. Get rid of your car, it's an albatross around your neck.

I know, I know. "I can't, I'm the exception, lots of people can do it, but I can't, it's impossible, I'm helpless, poor me." I know, I know. Just try the two experiments I suggested. Many things seem impossible, then we try them and they turn out to be possible - not easy, but possible.

Cross-posted from GWAG.

A couple of thoughts. Firstly personal mobility is a buzz which is why the developing countries want it so much. I'd frame the problem this way; if the world has too many people to eat steak, drive a car or enjoy air conditioning then maybe there should be fewer of us.

The second thing is that some people are now trapped into car dependence; example shift workers living on the rural fringe. Whether they moved out there because the kid wanted a pony or housing was cheaper they may no longer be able to move closer in to public transport. The depot of a bus service I used in 2004 had lines of parked farm utes from which people emerged to take the 6 am bus into the city. That bus ticket for non-season holders is now $28 a day I believe. If people have to work back late or do a night shift then they have to drive the whole way. I don't know what palatable options these people have.

Changing tack I think Rudd's $35m subsidy for the Camry hybrid is too little too late with 4% annual crude depletion. I think the suggestion of petrol/CNG dual fuel could save $10k per car and could run for many years.

Boof,
I couldn't agree more with your comment about Camry hybrid, 6 years too late, but then the Liberals were in power then.
Now, if Rudd can persuade GM to build 10,000 Chevy Volts, could really make a start, but not enough to reduce fuel use by 4% per year. Better still, >500,000 duel Petrol/CNG vehicles per year, is definitely one way of buying 20-30 years extra time at least in Australia. My understanding is that one of the problems with CNG is the tank size required for 400-500km range. Why not have a small CNG tank for all those short trips, and top up at home from domestic NG just like PHEV use short range battery power?

Aren't the home filling stations $8k? Feds will want x cents per gaseous litre so an extra meter may be required. Presumably the tank and fuel tweaking will cost around $2k per car same as LPG. I think Rudd took away Howard's LPG conversion rebate. If a million cars adopted it we would have to inject Qld coal seam methane into the southern NG network so some days might have 'hotter' gas than others.

On SBS now I see that Rudd is giving $35 million of our money so that Toyota will build a Camry hybrid at Altona. The auto freaks are saying diesel is better. Nobody has come up with this radical idea of "drive less", but they did roundabout say it by mentioning public transport.

Too much fuel being burned, and yet 30% of trips less than 3km, 50% less than 5km... and Australia has an obesity problem, third fattest country in the world after the US and UK... wow, wouldn't it be great if we could join these up somehow... hmmm, I wonder... could we walk a bit? Surely not, it's unAustralian, isn't it?

It's not like our climate is unsuited to walking. But perhaps the government could install a few long range travelators to ease us all into it ;)

While I'm all for walking, riding bikes and public transport (and have only rarely driven a car to work in the past 5 years - or never, in earlier years when I lived in London and Hong Kong), the simple fact is that these options aren't available for everyone.

For those who really are stuck in the god-forsaken, public transport free outer suburbs (or in rural areas), they really do need cars for the time being - hybrids (and eventually electric vehicles) are a step in the right direction, so I don't see them as a worthy target of criticism - they are just one more necessary option to exercise to deal with decreasing availability of fossil fuels...

And again, people living in public transport-forsaken outer suburbs vast distances from shops and work are not the majority.

If they were, the average time driving to work would be more than 31 minutes for each trip, and the average for shopping much greater than 13 minutes. And we wouldn't find that 30% of trips are under 3km and 50% less than 5km.

As I said, we can always drag out some poor bugger as an exception. "Oh but what about the elderly legless living in Dubbo?" But they're not the majority. Why focus on them? Why not focus on the majority? The majority can change, and their change can have a significant effect - more significant than making sure your tyres are pumped up.

Let's have people look seriously at their lives and how they live them, they're quite capable of coming up with excuses for themselves, we don't have to do it for them.

Kiashu,
I think you overestimate how much public transport exists in the US. I am thinking of midwestern/great lakes area states with cities around 20-40,000 people. These places do not have viable public transit. The best most of them have is Dial-A-Ride (on-request, mini busses) which is so inconvenient as to be useless in my city. It doesn't start running early enough or stay running late enough to get you both to work and back home. You have to schedule your pick up several hours in advance, which effectively means the night before. They will not guarantee a pick up time within an hour and cannot guarantee a destination time. The only purpose of the Dial-A-Ride system is to provide disabled people a way to get around so they don't have to move into assisted living.

But they're not the majority. Why focus on them? Why not focus on the majority?

Because any real social change must be effective for everyone except the true outliers. It isn't good enough to have a system that works for 50% of the people, you have to have a system that works for at least 90% of the people, preferable closer to 97%. This is why bicycling doesn't work as a solution. I'm not going to ride my bike to work when it's 10F or when there's 5" of snow on the ground. And there is a large segment of the population that can't. It's not a majority, but it is too many.

A final thought. Telling someone to move is easy, and is in fact the best overall solution. However, finding a place to live that is: close to work, schools, and stores; Large enough for a family; and affordable isn't nearly as easy as we'd like it to be. Moving is expensive. I can buy a lot of $5 gas for the cost of moving, not even counting the higher mortgage and insurance payments.
--
JimFive

I think you overestimate how much public transport exists in the US.

Not at all. Firstly, I was responding to someone talking about Australia, not the US - I am not an American. As for the US and public transport, I realise it's mostly shit. But lots of parts aren't.

My point is that many options already exist, but because people reflexively jump in their cars, they don't consider those options. My immodest proposal is that people make themselves aware of how much they use their car, and how often they're ignoring other options.

For some people, this will lead to no change at all; for most, some change.

Because any real social change must be effective for everyone except the true outliers.

In this case I'm not talking about social change. I'm talking about how you can save fuel. And for the vast majority of people, how much they drive is far more variable and easy to change and will have a greater effect on fuel consumption than messing about with accelerators and tyre pressure.

Boof,
I would be surprised if a gas compressor costs 8K, would depend upon pressure required.Low range tanks could use lower pressure. A 2K cost for conversion would be a faster payback than the 10K extra for batteries in a hybrid. The real value would be if petrol imports are just not available. It doesn't seem to make sense to be importing petrol from Asia, and refrigerating, NG as LNG and exporting it back to Asia. Piping CSM from Narrabri or even QLD is always going to be cheaper. There would be lots of pressures not to tax NG because of the lower carbon content than petrol.

What you're saying is backed up by this website http://rosettamoon.copley.org.au/
which I only heard of this week. Scroll down to see the article on NG as fuel. There is also a map of the pipeline network.

Again, you're talking about people driving to work.

And on average that's 22% of all trips taken.

Okay, so for some people that's going to be 90+% of their driving. But that's not the majority, that's not the average.

I mean, you can always drag out cases of people who genuinely have little or no choices. But the vast majority of people do have a choice, they're like my mate - too lazy to walk or bike or whatever.

I'm just suggesting that each of us take a detailed look at our driving, record our trips and see how many are trips we could do by some other method, or which we could roll in with another trip.

So the guy whose only driving is to and from work from his godforsaken McMansion with no public transport in the area, he records that in his little logbook. But the guy who drives 15km along the railway line to and from work, 1.5km to the park, three times a week 2km to the gym, and six times a week 2km to the shops and then on Sunday goes for a drive to see the country, he records that, too.

Just take a look at your driving. Don't tell us fairy tales about the Poor Little Aussie Battler, just take a serious look at it and see what you can do without or reorganise.

And that'll reduce your fuel use a heap more than buggerising about with the accelerator pedal or any nonsense like that.

"And that'll reduce your fuel use a heap more than buggerising about with the accelerator pedal or any nonsense like that."

Sorry, but you're focusing too narrowly on one particular solution. As gasoline prices have a greater impact on people, they will resort to a wide range of responses, and everyone will adopt them differently, at least at first. A lot of people in the US are already using more public transportation, where it's available, driving less (combining and eliminating errands), using the most efficient vehicle in a household, etc. Very few are hypermiling today, but as the cost of fuel becomes more onerous, they will. They'll also feel much more downward pressure on the number of miles they drive, so they'll make even more changes to drive less. The optimal destination is to drive as few miles as possible and as efficiently as possible. Different people will take different paths to get from their present behavior to that optimal state. Insisting that one solution (driving less) is better or worse than another (hypermiling) as a first step without knowing the details of an individual's circumstances is just silly.

And by the way--I wrote about hypermiling just today over on TCOE, and I pointed out that people should do it in addition to those other steps, so someone has indeed said it:

http://www.grinzo.com/energy/index.php/2008/06/10/free-hybrids-for-every...

I'd frame the problem this way; if the world has too many people to eat steak, drive a car or enjoy air conditioning then maybe there should be fewer of us.

I couldn't agree more. For those of us who don't need to eat steak, drive a car, or have air conditioning though there's plenty of room on the planet. So what do we do? This is a matter of economics. I say we should price energy intensive lifestyles appropriately. If someone wants to eat steak while driving a Hummer with the AC on full blast, sure thing. I also think they should be allowed to heat their home with paper money. The thing is, that our infrastructure, taxes and government foolishly subsidize the Hummer, the AC and the steak. The war in Iraq is about securing access to oil and all US tax payers are paying for it. There are all sorts of tax subsidies for huge cars if you own your own business, regardless of whether its a construction company or a nail salon. There's this amazing transportation network of highways that you can't walk or bike on which tax payers paid for. And coal burning electricity plants produce tons of mercury, CO2 and other nastiness which ordinary folks and critters the world over suffer from. But the people sitting in front of the AC only pay for the cost of making the electricity.

The earth is plenty big enough for people to live simply. In fact the earth could support probably 10 times as many people as there are now if we didn't need to destroy the environment for a buzz.

I was interested to see the breakdown of the vehicle use, even if 1992 data. Was surprised that only 22% of use was for work.These figures are giving a breakdown in time not necessarily km traveled or fuel use.This probably means that more than 22% of km and fuel is used for work related travel. It would really be useful to have those figures based on fuel use per activity rather than time spent per activity.
Just the same it makes no sense thinking that a fuel shortage will mean we have to abandon the suburbs and live closer to work if >70% of travel is "non-essential", it also means that we have the capacity to drastically reduce fuel use. It also illustrates how sensible PHEV or BEV would be for at least 70% of our driving, even if these vehicles can only travel at 60 km/hr and have a maximum range of 30km.
I think the reason many do not walk is because of available time, while many are too scared to be on a bike with SUV's driven by people without a truck license. Same reason it's dangerous to ride on the footpath, poor viability of SUVs backing out.
Shopping seems to be the big activity where we could make the most savings, any other ideas?(Sunday closings, home delivery,charge flat rate for parking to encourage fewer trips?)

It's hard to judge how the time driving translates to fuel use. You seem to be imagining that when people drive to work it's along easy freeways, and driving anywhere else is chockers with traffic jams. It ain't necessarily so.

I wouldn't say that more than 70+% of travel is "non-essential", rather that it's "discretionary" or "avoidable." A lot of people go to the shops a few times a week, it's not very difficult to sort yourself out and go just once. And there are other things which can be combined like social/education/active leisure - okay, so Jane goes to night school on Tuesdays and Jim goes to soccer, let's say Jim drives Jane to school, goes to soccer, has a brew or two with his mates afterwards, and Jane goes for coffee with her friend Mary from class. That's better than Jane and Jim taking their separate cars, and going out on different nights, and so on.

How about buy less useless stuff from concrete jungle malls!

No seriously we ahve to look at how people actually live in a typical suburb, where they work, how they get their food supplies, how they fill in all the spare hours they have now that FF does most of their household work and what they are doing when they leave their locales at all.

Then when we understand this, we can start to take a look at the avaialble resources in the suburbs themselves adn see if any of the infrastructure can be adpated so that people don't have to do as much travelling.

I fully agree with Kiashu that we should first look at not driving the car or reducing it as much as possible. Lecturing people about it is likely to be counterproductive and waiting for petrol to hit the screaming pain barrier is agaonisingly slow for some of us, but get over it, you can't control the oil price anymore that the next guy so just accept it and do what is within your own control.

Here is my personal list of goals I can achieve in my own community:

1. Set up a point to point ad-hoc car pool from the neighbourhood to the CBD (regional city). We can add other popular routes later like down tothe local shops and back from them if it works out.

2. Start a neighbourhood association with the intention of running the above car pool and maybe extending it in the future to pooled ownership of fewer but better cars shared amongst more people. (big goal)

3. Lobby to build a community wood fired oven in the local park. We teach all the local kids how to bake bread which is done once or twice a week saving people from having to buy stale commercial bread trucked from 300Kms away and save all those two kilometre trips tothe shops to buy it.

4. Around the oven, take over some of the unused grass areas in the park and start growing food. Co-opting the kids again.

5. Germinate and give all my neighbours a fruit tree to plant this Christmas. I ahve peach, nectarine and cherry in the fridge at the moment seeing as we just don't getreally coldwinters anymore.

6. Eventually I would like to see a community workshop built around the garden/park/oven which may be the germination of work opportunities. Small cottage industries with small shops.

7. The community hub is a bustling social hub which attracts home based workers who have learned to telecommute to their slave jobs. Far more people will stay put if they can walk to the local market in five minutes from their house.

8. Build resilience in the local community (as much as I like you guys, real people are also cool) to share knowledge , provide support to those doing it tough, i.e elderly, unemployed, mortage defaulters.

9. My favourtie - start a beer brewing network with all my new found friends and neighbours. Drink locally - no taxis, booze bus etc.

Everything on my list is doable, reduces car use by the whole neighbourhood and will make this a better place to live.

Another element of this should be entertainment / recreation.

I was involved in several human powered propulsion projects over the years (got several patents) and although I have given up hope for any of these to replace existing propulsion requirements or even be widely implemented in mainstream society I do know that many of these devices are fun as hell.

Not sure of the numbers but I am sure there is a fair amount of FF waste in leasure time activities, both the activities themselves as well as the travel to these activities.

IMO alternatives for high energy consuming distractions are going to be more important than ever to maintain a civil society.

Some ideas;

Miles of dedicated, easy route, bike trails through park & forest areas with camping, swimming, etc.

Mountain bike trails.

A near by hillside dedicated to “mountainboarding”, its like a snowboard or long skateboard only with big wheelbarrel like inflated wheels.

On lakes and rivers having lots of small boating opportunities kayaks, sail, HPVs, etc.

Long slides. Santa Cruz boardwalk had a varnished wood, 6 lane, with whoop-de-doos every now and then, slide that was about 100 yards long (at least it seemed like it when I was 10) that people of all ages would slide down on burlap bags. YeeeeeHawww!

I know this all sounds corny but I have been looking for ways of implementing something along these lines in my area to keep the natives from getting too restless if you know what I mean.

Great ideas. My idea of a community hub is to give people something to focus on rather than canned entertainments. A good long yack with your buddy while you are mixing up some home brew could be just as fulfilling as watching the latest blockbuster movie with a barrel of popcorn and a bucket of slushy! Probably more so.

I would love to cut out the short trips, but where I live it is not safe at all, to bike anywhere... What am I to do?

Wow, most of the people (in the Twin cities, Minnesota) I talk to on biking complain their distances they need to travel are too far, but there certainly are places (and times like rushhour) where I don't like to bike at all because of nonexistent shoulders (or parked cars) for safe biking.

We have an extensive biking community in the core cities and inner suburbs with interest in making roads safer for biking. (We also have usually senseless "critical mass" bike rides that purposely ride in the highest traffic times and ignore all traffic rules - not helping with any greater cooperative spirit with drivers.) But it seems improvement comes from participation - people interesting in biking need to get together and express their frustrations and difficulties to local governments/councils/boards and it surely takes time for change. Our buses and LRT also can carry bikes which I see frequently used.

WORSE than unsafe biking, unsafe walking is an even greater craziness of modern cities designed for cars. Getting a safe path for people walk a half mile to a bus stop is a hurdle too. Many neighborhood streets curve around in long blocks to discourage through-traffic, but also discourage walking when you have to go way out of your way just to get around a block. Insane stuff everywhere.

So "Get Political" is the answer in most cases, but change is slow.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24989558/

HARTFORD, Conn. - A 78-year-old man is tossed like a rag doll by a hit-and-run driver and lies motionless on a busy city street as car after car goes by.

Pedestrians gawk but appear to do nothing. One driver stops briefly but then pulls back into traffic. A man on a scooter slowly circles the victim before zipping away.

To be fair, the pedestrian was jaywalking, and did not appear to be watching for traffic. You've got to be careful, folks!

The hit and run driver is worse than scum though. I do hope they catch him and lock him away for life.

Hate to say it but have you considered moving?

"considered moving?"

I don't think you have a concept of what it is like to live in most suburban areas:

There IS nowhere else to move! All the suburbs are the same, except some are gated, some are junky, and in some only half the denizens cut the grass; they do all have cars, though! There is no other place to live but in your suburb or in another suburb in the area; there is no "in town" because there is no town, just scattered suburbs. There is a city, but it has very few apartments, and they are all taken! I could move from my suburb to another suburb in the area, but I would still be in a suburb. I've lived in my suburb for 40 years; I could move to a new suburb and start over, but I couldn't move to a new town unless I also moved to a suburb of that town; I couldn't move to a new city without moving to a suburb of that city! Then there are those little matters of a job, finding an affordable place to live, and maybe locating a town full of bike trails that hasn't already been runover by everyone else looking for a town full of bike trails!

Nice perspective, thank you. We have an inner city here, but most people wouldn't deign to live there..the schools are substandard, and the housing stock is in "original" condition. People here have no conception of what they are about to face....

You are right. I don't really know what it's like to live in a typical American suburb, nor do I fully appreciate just how wretched it must be to feel completley powerless to change your own environment. Nothing about this crisis is going to be easy. Hard choices will have to be made and making a concious decision to relocate will be one of them. Re-skilling ourselves and becoming self employed rather than relying on a slave-job will be another one and it is diffcult to contempalte this if you are beyond a certain age. Nothing is going to be easy and there will be much ganshing of teeth and hysterical outbursts, escalating to real violence in a fight for survival. It may actually be that serious for you. If you don't move now regardless of teh current hardships, the future hardships may be overwhelming and even life threatening. Of course it is your choice to reject if you choose.

Why move now? I have seasonal access to water, and the ability to store what I will need for cooking and drinking (though sponge baths may become all the rage). I have a garden that we've planted for as long as we've been here, and I grow my own plants from seed, and have started growing heirloom varieties to get away from the generational degradation of the hybrids. Live like a king in the future? Just survive? Die in the rush? Who knows...those are questions that can only be answered during the events to come. The Pacific Northwest USA may be one of the best places in the world to survive what is coming -- if these volcanoes don't start going off -- and that ain't no joke: I can point to five of them from my house...

See there is always some upside and hope if you look for it. If you have volcanos can you tap inot geothermal power?

While driving today I was passed by small, medium, and giant SUVs and pickups, and by expensive midsize autos doing ten or more miles per hour over the speed limit. I was tailgated by a small car driven by someone who was angry because I wasn't driving over the speed limit. I was given a hard stare by a driver who had to pass me to the right because I was in the left-hand lane, doing the speed limit, to make a left-hand turn. Even at that, I drove only about 10 miles during the day, doing the following:

  • took my wife to work, a fifteen minute drive that takes about 40 minutes by bus (one transfer necessary, and fare has to be paid at each boarding); my wife can't walk, and to pull her in a wagon to her school, and then pick her up to pull her home would take about a 2 hour round trip, morning and evening.
  • took the dog to the dog-park on the way home, a slight swing south; I could have walked the dog to the park in about 40 minutes; however, knowing it would take another 40 minutes to get back, would I be supid enough to stay another hour at the park with the dog?.
  • in the afternoon, I drove back to pick up my wife at work, dropping by a post office box on the way because a letter can't be left in the mail box because of the danger of it being ripped off.
  • yesterday I had about the same schedule, but took a slightly modified route on my way to pick up my wife to do a quick shop at Costco; if I had walked to Costco earlier, it would have taken about 15 minutes to get there, though I would have had to pull that wagon again to collect all my loot, and would need a cooler and some ice in the wagon to keep the frozen goods through the trip back.
  • eventually, if I kept up a wagon-wife/dog-park/wagon-shopping routine, I would probably attract the attention of the local newspaper and get my picture in the newspaper (Youtube?) as that eccentric who lives in north-county, or I would attract the attention of muggers (probably the same one's ripping off the mail), or I would get run over by one of those vehicles doing 10 mph over the speed limit.

I really do try my best to save gas by combining trips, and don't go anywhere unless I have saved up things to do during the trip, but beyond that the car-based life style around here isn't going to end until the gas does. In addition, for most people, there is a disconnect between buying gasoline and using it. When people are filling up, they grumble and shake their heads and blame everyone else for the problem. However, when they are driving, the gasoline becomes like air, always there and used without thinking.

I've been conducting an informal experiment by driving 65 mph (I believe that's actually the speed limit on the highway here) on my commutes, and noting the vehicles that I pass (none, save for an occasional school bus). Comparing that to the bitching and whining about gas prices is...enlightening. It apparently occurs to no one in my benighted city of San Antonio Texas that driving slower will save them gas money...sigh. Reason #23 why i am a doomer....

Bumpersticker Candidate: Speeders Raise The Price Of Gas!

Probably get yelled at for this, but would it be such a bad thing to just let things just play out; BAU? Let humanity's reset button (if there is such a thing) press itself? No doubt it's all about cramming as much into the day as possible at present, but one way or another, life-styles for the lower/middle-class are going to slow down. And whether we get there gradually or not is uncertain at the moment. My question is, will it matter? Would a rapid change be a guarantee for resource wars?

I dunno. I just like the idea of electric golf carts and motorbikes, with millions of general-use solar panels everywhere to charge up. But of course, probably need oil to build the things.

And I'm still of the opinion we have a few decades up our sleaves.

Regards, Matt B

Not yelling at you but a few decades of what? The high consumption high energy lifestyle we have grown very fat on? This is rapidly changing. The speed is relative though. In historical terms it is very rapid, in day to day terms it is hardly noticeable. 12 months ago petrol was $1.20 a litre and that seemed high. Today it hit $1.69 and that seems high. In another year who knows? There is already competition for resources and there are already resource wars, it just hasn't come to our doorstep yet. China is unlikely to invade Australia for its coal, but it can and will buy large chunks of Australian mines in hich case the price they are paying is irrelevant if the profits are repatriated to China. It makes more sense than an actual war. Very cunning Maoist strategy - use your enemies strength (open free markets) against him.

Yes, I know, I understand. Kinda regret what I wrote, but just a little frustrated when every morning I see/hear such things as the traffic reports with their bumper-to-bumper mayhem; even at $1.69 (just filled up on that myself!). And people not asking why...

At the moment, I just don't see man's ingenuity saving the day in time.