Stories tagged with "subprime mortgages"
The Round-Up: July 6th 2007
Posted by Stoneleigh on July 6, 2007 - 1:01am in The Oil Drum: Canada
Topic: Miscellaneous
Tags: algae, arctic, batteries, bear stearns, cds, china, climate change, consolidated debt obligation, electricity, hedge funds, natural gas drilling, oil sands, peak oil, pollution, soils, subprime mortgages [list all tags]
Today's headlines lead with coverage of the on-going crisis in the debt markets, and an explanation of the financial engineering underlying much of the global liquidity bubble. Debt ratings have not been adjusted to reflect current market conditions, meaning that 'asset' valuations are over-stated. No institution wants to force asset sales for fear of revealing just how much real valuations differ from nominal ones, but eventually such a sale will occur - with the potential to cause an abrupt repricing of a wide range of 'assets' (many of which will actualy be revealed to be essentially worthless). Leverage will magnify the losses, leading to a very serious financial crisis. One estimate (below) puts the potential losses, once assets are eventually marked to market, at 20 times the sum involved in the LTCM crisis in 1998 - so far, and getting worse by the day.
The Round-Up is also convering the Canadian energy scene, as well as environmental and international news, in that order. Oil companies leaving Venezuela and aiming for the oil sands are finding that all is not clear sailing, while China is entering the oil sands for the first time. Nunavut seeks control over future oil and gas revenues, Newfoundland and Labrador wants to bypass Quebec in selling electricity to the US, and the slow down in natural gas drilling is hurting frontier communities in Alberta and BC.
Credit crunch will 'shred investment portfolios to ribbons'
The near collapse of two Bear Stearns hedge funds has lifted the rock on our 21st century mutant capitalism, exposing the bugs beneath to a rare shock of naked light.
When creditors led by Merrill Lynch forced a fire-sale of assets, they inadvertently revealed that up to $2 trillion of debt linked to the crumbling US sub-prime and "Alt A" property market was falsely priced on books.
Even A-rated securities fetched just 85pc of face value. B-grades fell off a cliff. The banks halted the sale before "price discovery" set off a wider chain-reaction.
"It was a cover-up," says Charles Dumas, global strategist at Lombard Street Research. He believes the banks alone have $750bn in exposure. They may have to call in loans....
....Wobbles are turning to fear. Just $3bn of the $20bn junk bonds planned for issue last week were actually sold. Lenders are refusing "covenant-lite" deals for leveraged buy-outs, especially those with "toggles" that allow debtors to pay bills with fresh bonds. Carlyle, Arcelor, MISC, and US Food Services are all shelving plans to raise money. This is how a credit crunch starts.
"This is the big one: all investment portfolios will be shredded to ribbons," said Albert Edwards, from Dresdner Kleinwort.
The Round-Up: May 8th 2007
Posted by Stoneleigh on May 8, 2007 - 7:59am in The Oil Drum: Canada
Topic: Site news
Tags: agrichar, climate change, equalization, ethanol, feed-in tariffs, fish, gasoline, leveraged buyout, mackenzie valley pipeline, nuclear, oil sands, private equity, subprime mortgages, water [list all tags]
Sensing some reluctance from the crowd, Hawthorne later slips into passive-aggressive salesman mode. "I'm not here to sell you a nuclear plant. If you don't want a nuclear plant, I don't want to be here."
But he does want to be there, and he is selling something the idea that a nuclear renaissance is upon us, that emission-free atomic power will save local economies, keep global warming in check and pave the way to a nuclear-based hydrogen economy. The message in a nutshell: the construction of new nuclear plants in Canada is inevitable.
Nuclear power, once shunned, is back on the table in Canada and around the world. Its image as a risky, expensive, dangerous technology amplified by the Three Mile Island accident and Chernobyl disaster is clouding. Only emission-free nuclear power, proponents say, can keep global warming in check without hindering economic growth.
There's serious talk in Alberta about using nuclear power to reduce emissions during oil sands production. Behind the scenes, Prime Minister Stephen Harper has reportedly embraced the cause. And Ontario has already committed to building two new nuclear reactors totalling 1,000 megawatts in the province just the start, industry and political sources contend.
The Round-Up: March 23rd 2007
Posted by Stoneleigh on March 23, 2007 - 12:12pm in The Oil Drum: Canada
Topic: Site news
Tags: budget, coal, equalization, global warming, kyoto, loan sharks, natural gas, nuclear, oil sands, spanish flu, subprime mortgages, taxation [list all tags]
Searching for survivors of Spanish flu
The project is specifically targeting British Columbians, though the researchers would hope to hear from survivors from further afield as well, Dr. Skowronski said.
She believes that as well as safeguarding a piece of history, the project could help people contemplating future pandemics to understand how people cope when systems are overwhelmed and survival comes down to individuals helping individuals.
"I think it's really hard for people to appreciate -- and governments in particular -- to appreciate the potential enormity of a pandemic," she said.
"But the basic human capacity to cope, to draw on each other for support -- that hasn't really changed [since 1918]. And so we can really learn, I think, from people and what they have to describe about that."
The Round-Up: March 15th 2007
Posted by Stoneleigh on March 15, 2007 - 12:28pm in The Oil Drum: Canada
Topic: Site news
Tags: depression, drilling, housing market, hydro power, mackenzie valley pipeline, natural gas, subprime mortgages, tilma, wind power [list all tags]
Arctic Gas projects put on ice
New cost estimates that pushed up the price of the Mackenzie gas pipeline to $16.2- billion make Canada's Arctic natural gas among the most expensive on the continent, top explorers in the area said yesterday.
Executives at Devon Canada Corp. and Apache Canada Ltd. said they're putting exploration plans on ice until the project becomes a reality.
"When I see the welders show up and start welding pipe, that's when exploration will ramp up again," said Chris Seasons, president of Devon Canada, a subsidiary of Oklahoma City-based Devon Energy Corp., which spent more than $300-million looking for natural gas in the North this decade. "Certainly the delay to 2014, assuming the project goes ahead, is not helpful, and while we haven't seen any tolls on the mainline, just looking at the costs, it's going to make it amongst the most expensive gas in North America," he said.
The Round-Up: December 20th 2006
Posted by Stoneleigh on December 20, 2006 - 2:32pm in The Oil Drum: Canada
Topic: Site news
Tags: biofuel, capital controls, climate change, energy trusts, environment, global warming, housing market, hydro, income trusts, nuclear, pipelines, renewable energy, subprime mortgages, uranium [list all tags]
Barb Isman, president of the Canola Council of Canada, expects the government to put forward regulations requiring five per cent renewable content in Canadian gasoline and diesel fuel by 2010, as promised in the Conservative election platform.She said the package will include a $200-million program under which farmers can obtain part ownership in biodiesel plants expected to sprout in coming years.
Isman expects the regulations to state that two per cent of fuels be biodiesel, for which canola can be a prime ingredient.
She said the measures are welcome but will not be sufficient to kickstart the renewables industry unless there are tax changes in the next federal budget to make Canadian farmers competitive with those in the United States and Europe.

k Nation (Jim Kunstler)


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