Stories tagged with "reflexivity"
Peak Oil and Reflexivity and Peak Oil
Posted by Nate Hagens on June 8, 2008 - 9:15am
Topic: Economics/Finance
Tags: commodities, contango, george soros, hedge funds, index funds, oil futures, reflexivity [list all tags]
A good many years ago, I read George Soros' "The Alchemy of Finance", which introduced me to the concept of reflexivity, which in a nutshell is when observers of a phenomenon can't help but impact the phenomenon itself via their 'observing', thus changing the original underlying fundamentals and setting in motion a boom-bust dynamic (i.e. more exaggerated trends in both directions). Since Mr. Soros recently spoke to Congress regarding the oil futures market 'bubble', I thought I'd take a closer look at the concept of reflexivity, both as it relates to oil and commodities in general, as well as its broader implications for efforts in raising awareness of global resource constraints.


k Nation (Jim Kunstler)


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