The Bullroarer - Friday 31st July 2009

Radio Australia - Grim climate warning for Asia Pacific

A new report says climate change could produce 75 million refugees in the Asia Pacific region in the next 40 years.

It urges Australia to put new immigration measures in place to help with people movements, and to cut deeply into its own climate-changing greenhouse gas emissions.

TV NZ - Wallace's blog: Say ETS and watch the eyes glaze over

This week a triple whammy in environmental news. Firstly, an icesheet in Greenland one and quarter million square miles is retreating faster than expected - pretty much blowing geologists forecasts out of the water. One geologist taking ice core samples said that change up here used to be measured in hundred year gaps. Now, they're measuring it in one to two year cycles.

'Bushfire catastrophe looms' shouts a headline in yesterday's paper. An Australian Government report says that Victoria will experience similar if not worse conditions than the epic fires that killed 173 people in February this year.

And an Oxfam report this week that says climate change is affecting the Pacific now - that the future is, in effect, here.

[.....]

The thing is what to do? We talked about NZ's response to climate change and the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) on Backbenches on Wednesday. The first thing that comes to mind for me is a helluva lot of people still don't know what an ETS is. As Guyon Espiner suggested to Nick Smith on Q&A, people's eyes glaze over at the mere thought. And as Green MP Sue Kedgley said on Wednesday night, 99.9% of people still don't know what an ETS is.

[.....]

Now there are many ins and outs of the scheme, for example half of our emissions come from agriculture. Are we at a scientific stage that we can accurately measure those emissions? How much should the taxpayer fork out for those that pollute the environment as opposed to the company? And is every country in the world on the same page when is comes to baseline measurements of emissions? What is the baseline?

I've been curious about how much the GFC has reduced coal consumption. Not much, it seems:
The Australian - Felix coal sales pick up sharply as demand grows in China, India

Mr Flannery said more than 500,000 metric tons of coking coal had been shipped to the two Asian giants, mostly to China, as demand had softened from traditional customers such as Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.

"We saw additional demand from China and India, who took up the slack that we copped in the third quarter from our traditional customers not being able to lift all the coal," he told Dow Jones Newswires.

The Australian - Whitehaven Coal on the hunt for $176m as profits lift

The Sydney-based miner issued net profit guidance yesterday for the full year ended June 30 of about $75m and said earnings before interest, tax depreciation and amortisation was expected to be about $130m. Net income was $51.85m a year earlier.

"The result for FY09 is pleasing, given the uncertain economic climate, and reflects both the structural strength in demand for coal and the strong operational performance delivered by Whitehaven's management and employees," managing director Tony Haggarty said.

ABC - Ships queue after bumper coal exports

There is a logjam of ships queued offshore at the Dalrymple Bay Coal Terminal on the central Queensland coast, as a result of a record export month.

Other energy resources have seen similar results:
Herald Sun - Record profit for Energy Resources of Australia

ENERGY Resources of Australia has posted a record first-half net profit, thanks to higher production and sales of uranium oxide.

Sky news - Record sales for Origin Energy

Origin Energy has announced record annual production and sales revenue for its exploration and production business.

Exploration and production increased by four per cent, with sales revenue rising 10 per cent to $572 million dollars.

Origin also announced a 50 per cent annual increase in 2P coal seam gas reserves in its Australia Pacific LNG joint venture.

The consequences?
News.com.au - Governments know global climate targets unlikely, says researcher

AN international pledge to peg global warming to two degrees is a pipe dream, and most governments know it, says an Australian researcher.

Does Kevin Rudd have a plan that he is not ready to go public with? He seems to be planning for a future without energy exports:

The Australian - Rudd recovery road with energy exports

KEVIN Rudd's new big essay says we need to prepare for an Australia "beyond the mining booms". The Prime Minister recalls being ridiculed for making this point as opposition leader.

He feels vindicated by the global financial crisis and commodity price slump.

And so his 6000-word essay on Australia's economic growth challenges all but ignores the opportunities from rising resources demand from Asia.

If anything, this "boost to our exporters" will be a "double-edged sword" because it could inflict higher food and petrol prices on Australian families.

Meanwhile, in other energy news::
NZ Herald - Wide range of players eye oil assets

Analysis of the looming shakeup in the fuel sector finds a wide range of possible outcomes as big oil companies review their position.

National Business Review - TrustPower wants partial privatisation of energy SOEs

Listed electricity company TrustPower called for a partial privatisation of New Zealand’s energy SOEs at its annual meeting today, saying a 20% float would help ensure security of power supply.

Stuff.co.nz - Target in the wind

Let's be honest. Our response, no matter how well-intentioned, will make no difference to the impact of climate change, while concerted action by everyone will.

But there is a delicate balancing of issues that will be needed to come up with a target that will work for us.

The science is important, but so too is the economics.

Scoop.co.nz - Marine Energy Fund Opens

Applications are now open for the third round of the Marine Energy Deployment Fund, which aims to get wave and tidal stream energy devices operating in New Zealand waters.

National Business Review - Government backs Greens' biofuel bill

A Green Party bill that sets up a standards regime for biofuels sold in New Zealand passed its first reading in Parliament tonight with the Government's support.

The West Australian - Reserve 15pc gas for WA, oil giants told

Five petroleum giants developing a huge gas field off WA’s Kimberley coast will be required to set aside 15 per cent of the project for domestic industry, according to Colin Barnett.

The Premier’s comments come a day after he warned the partners that they would be required to develop their Browse Basin project at his preferred James Price Point site, north of Broome.

Eco Generation - Solar the fuel for a sustainable future: Flannery

Eminent environmentalist and 2007 Australian of the year, Professor Tim Flannery outlined his vision for a sustainable future and highlighted the significant role solar power has to play in bringing it about.

I'm back. Thank-you for your patience. Having a four-week old is consuming most of my free time (and all of my sleep-time), but I will attempt to get back into the pattern of a Bullroarer every Friday.

If anybody has articles of interest, feel free to add them.

aeldric.

Good going Aeldric,

Remember to print off all your TOD posts so that your lad can enjoy them in the future...

Scenario 1: Finnian reclines and enjoys the view from his designer beach house, sipping a Pan-Galactic Gargle Blaster and flicking through his dad's old papers. He chuckles...
"Geez, they were really worried back then - before we discovered how to make Nuclear Fusion out of old landfill sites..."

Scenario 2: Finnian scrabbles together a pile of old papers that the looters have left behind and makes a comforting fire against the fears of the night. He unwraps a rancid chunk of meat on a bone and singes off the bad bits. He muses as he gnaws away...
"Geez, I wonder who that old refugee was who knew my name... at least he didn't put up much of a fight, and he tastes alright..."

Welcome back Aeldric.You are suffering from the "Breeders Dilemma".Never mind,enjoy the little blighters while you can.

The ABC article on problems in the Pacific due to climate change did not have a link to the report it refered to.
However,I cringe when I hear do-gooder organizations like Oxfam spouting on about how Australia should adjust it's migration policy to accommodate so called refugees.I am in favour of aid to these countries to help them alleviate their problems.This might be made conditional,where applicable,on the recipients putting in place effective birth control measures.

For Australia the bottom line is this ____ we have already overshot our sustainable population by 100%.Our priority is to convince the cornucopian nitwits running this country to introduce a zero immigration policy (including from NZ)and cease encouraging a higher Australian birthrate.

My advice to all those wishing to emigrate to Australia - Stay at home,you fucked it,you fix it.

Skuze me.
I am a Rhodesian.
Australia fucked it,(Rhodesia), Australia fix it.

Oh, that's right! Australia didn't support Bob Mugabe. Australia is as innocent as the new blown snow.

And then there is Afganistan... More snow.

But hey, I am on your side.
My parachute is open too.
We are in deep doodies here, my friend. Time to choose your neighbour.

"You are either with us or against us."
Who was it that said those profound words? I forget.
Some moron.

This might be made conditional,where applicable,on the recipients putting in place effective birth control measures.

We'll have a difficult time convincing countries to accept aid-for-birth-control when the only birth control we encourage ourselves is a $5000 bonus for having a kid.

I'd change the $5000 Baby Bonus to a $10,000 Tubal Ligation Bonus. And $500-$1000 Bonus for Vascectomies.

I've been curious about how much the GFC has reduced coal consumption. Not much, it seems:

They're probably stockpiling it while it's cheap.

Does Kevin Rudd have a plan that he is not ready to go public with? He seems to be planning for a future without energy exports:

Although I think Rudd is better than any of the potentials on the other side of The House, I find it hard to believe he's got a plan at all, let alone a Plan B, C, or D. Everyone seems to be just making it up as they go along, and spinning wehatever they come up with.