The Bullroarer - Saturday 16th May 2009

My apologies for the later-than-usual post

Stuff.co.nz - Significant Coal Seam Gas Find

L&M Petroleum is "cautiously optimistic" after a significant find of coal seam gas in western Southland, from the first of a series of three wells being drilled back-to-back.

The Age - Climate change 'should focus on poor'

A Swedish climate change study has called for focusing assistance on the world's most vulnerable poor communities.

The Australian - Carbon trade lends charity greater vision

AUSTRALIAN aid agencies are getting on board the global climate change wagon as governments and private companies line up to pour money into environmental projects that will earn them carbon credits.

ABC - Govt seeks backing on emissions trading bill

The Federal Government is trying to convince the Opposition and the crossbench senators to support its emissions trading legislation.

The New Lawyer (AU) - Climate change lawyers cling to 2011 promise

CLIMATE change lawyers keen to get a new flow of work are waiting with fingers crossed for the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme (CPRS) to pass through Parliament.

Otago Daily Times - Push to change climate change agreement

Mention global warming mitigation policies and agriculture, and the rural sector starts speculating that the end of the world is looming. Agribusiness editor Neal Wallace reports New Zealand Government officials have been pushing for a new approach to solve an issue that will not go away.

Radio NZ - Gloomy energy demand forecasts hit oil market

World energy use has been shrinking because of the global economic recession for the first time in a quarter of a century.

The IEA says the decline in oil consumption in 2009 would be the steepest since 1981.

Stuff.co.nz - Hailstorm caused almost $1m damage a minute

National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research snow and ice scientist Dr Jordy Hendrikx said the effects of climate change meant the risk of extreme weather events was increasing.

Radio Australia - Indonesian climate change talks wrap up

Climate change talks in Indonesia have wrapped up with 75 countries agreeing to adopt the Manado declaration to protect the world's oceans and coastal communities from global warming.

Gold Coast Mail - Climate change strategy unveiled

GOLD Coast City Council has unveiled a draft climate change strategy, claiming it will help transform the GC into the “most liveable, healthy, active and resource efficient major city in Australia within 30 years”.

ABC - Climate change to cause wave of refugees

ASHLEY HALL: Australian scientists are warning there could be a wave of economic refugees from South-East Asia and the Pacific if climate change is allowed to devastate the Coral Triangle, north of the Australia.

The Age - China slams Rudd's climate 'U-turn'

CHINA'S top climate change official has accused the Australian Government of backtracking on international commitments by demanding action from China and India before it signs a new treaty to cut greenhouse emissions.

ABC - Developers urge revision of sea level predictions
NSW takes "Doomsday" approach. Alternately, developers take "Ostrich" approach....

Developers have asked the New South Wales Government to revise its forecast for sea level rises caused by climate change.

New South Wales has predicted the sea level on its coast will rise 40 centimetres by 2050.

But the development industry group, Urban Taskforce, says that is at least 10 centimetres higher than the level predicted by Queensland, Victoria and South Australia.

A spokesman for the group, Aaron Gadiel, says the state government has chosen to take a doomsday approach to climate change.

SMH - Climate change sparks electricity change

Australia is to change the way it makes electricity, with huge new solar power plants and cleaner coal facilities to be built.

The federal government will spend billions "greening up" electricity and says it wants to lead the world in the field.

NZ Herald - Talks tackle climate change finds

Researchers at a three-day science conference starting in Wellington today are looking at implications of new work on climate change.

Radio NZ - Coral reefs under critical threat due to climate change, say scientists

A new scientific report says that around 100 million people risk losing their homes and livelihoods unless drastic steps are taken to protect the coral reefs of the Southeast Asia/Pacific region.

TV NZ - PNG's climate change refugees feel curse

The world's first climate change refugees are fed up with the impact of celebrity on their increasingly fragile existence.

SMH - Govt mute over boost for coal companies

The federal government says it has had "constructive" discussions with the coal industry, but won't reveal if it has offered companies more cash to cope with the introduction of emissions trading.

Travel Blackboard - Climate change calls for complete transformation of business models

With climate change firmly on the agenda, an expert on the matter says now is the time to change our business models so that Australia targets fewer international arrivals, but more high yielding travellers.

SMH - Sea-level rise half as much as predicted

A RAPID collapse of the ice sheet in West Antarctica would raise sea levels by an average of about three metres, half as much as previously thought, a study shows.

The effect, however, would still be catastrophic, with a rise of just one metre causing devastation in coastal areas around the globe, scientists said.

As an editorial note: News articles don't report what is happening, they report what they think people are interested in. Last year my searches came back with a huge number of stories about the consequences of high energy costs. This year the same search terms return lots of stories about Climate Change. Lower energy costs have given people a chance to think about Climate Change. Will it last? Will we effectively use this opportunity?

So NSW developers think that a 30cm sea level rise will be all that much different from a 40cm rise.
In their dreams.The same disconnect from reality is apparent on the Gold Coast.
There is a large amount of built up real estate in Australia which will either be underwater or subject to periodic inundation in the not too distant future and not all of it is close to the beach.This is due to estuaries and low lying land many kilometres behind the coastline.The back up of freshwater floods is another factor.I wonder how much investigation and modeling on an engineering basis has been done on this.
This is largely a local government responsibility but states have a responsibility to set overall standards.As local government is the most corrupt due to direct developer influence I don't see this changing soon.Goodness,we can't even get progressive climate change policy out of a federal government who are distant from the developers - irony intended.

Aeldric,my answer to both the questions you posed at the end of the post is - no.

It comes down to how we have decided to measure our "success/achievment/progess"

"Growth" is it!
If you challenge that you are a fringe dwelling wierdo... or worse.
GDP per capita is the sacrosanct indicator.

The funny thing is "growth" stategies are in all likelihood going to fail from here on in. IF you could just maintain the status quo (ie truly sustaibable develpment) then as "traditional" methods fail, from a relative point of view your policies will appear as "growth".

But the way I see it playing out...
Since we have decided that GDP growth via realestate specualtuion = the desirable measure of "success"... we may not tolereate a "loss of value" in this sector. So we will spend money shoring up these prior investiments. And the funny thing is in the spending... we will achieve our measureable goal. Even if the investment turns out to be pointless.

When councils see vuluations dropping as the sand erodes from the Gold Coast beach what are they going to do? They will spend money.

This will show up in GDP growth as a "good thing"; even as the sand as washes away.

SP,I've just started reading Clive Hamilton's "Growth Fetish" which was published in 2003.

Here is the Oxford definition of fetish - (1)an inanimate object worshipped for its supposed magical powers.
(2)a form of sexual desire in which gratification is focused abnormally on an object,part of the body,or activity.
(3)a course of action to which one has an excessive and irrational commitment.

In the case of our fearless leaders,1 and 3 certainly apply.It is possible that 2 also does but I don't want to go there.It all sounds like a psychiatric condition so the whole crazy crowd need to go into therapy.

I'm putting the extra 10cm of sea level rise in NSW down to the "wrath of God" against our incompetent State Government.
;-)

Actually, there is a reason for the difference between the sea level estimates between states.
Check out page 35

The SA estimates are higher than I remember from last years estimates.

These are projections based on past sea level rise... and don't take into account estimates due to polar ice melting.

Past/present sea level rise is mainly due to increased temperature expanding the oceans.

So what the realestate agents demonstrate is ... ... ...

Kevin Rudd today announced plans for a large solar power station while visiting Liddell Power Station.

I hope it doesn't go the same way of the Worley Parsons projects announced last year.

http://www.livenews.com.au/home/australia-to-be-a-solar-energy-leader/20...

Sorta related: a Solar Thermal (or PV) power station wouldn't do SEQ much good at the moment, which is why we should be building Wind Turbine as well (overcast,with high winds atm). I recieved 200mm overnight, and looks like at least that to come again today. Maybe a little microhydro on the local weirs. :)

I also attended the Engineers Australia meeting in Brisbane last night (thank goodness for awnings!). Interesting set of presentations, although i get the impression they were largely preaching to the chior. Unsure as to wether to write up a short KP or to just leave a wrapup in the comments of the next Bullroarer.

Please write a post - we really like stories submitted by you guys (especially given the general lack of productivity from the editorial team lately)...