Bruce Robinson On "The World Today"

ASPO Australia's Bruce Robinson was interviewed on the ABC's "World Today" program for a piece called "Governments urged to get ready for 'peak oil'".

Audio: RealPlayer Windows Media MP3.

ELEANOR HALL: Theories abound about why the price of oil has been skyrocketing. The head of OPEC says the weak US dollar and continuing tensions about Iran's nuclear program are to blame. Economists say speculators are playing a role, as is soaring demand from India and China.

But those who subscribe to the theory of peak oil say the price is high because the resource is running out. The convenor of the Australian Society for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, Bruce Robinson, has told Ashley Hall that it's time for governments to stop denying the inevitable.

BRUCE ROBINSON: The real reason that oil prices have been going up is probably geological. We're probably coming close to peak oil, that's the time when global oil production will start declining. When, regardless of the economic factors, the geology just won't be able to keep up.

ASHLEY HALL: So this explanation that speculators have been driving the price or it's soaring demand from developing nations like China and India don't really make a difference if we're approaching that peak spot?

BRUCE ROBINSON: Well the soaring demand, you know, increases the pressure on the supply that we're getting at the moment. But yes, so there's the speculators and things. Everyone is trying to think of a reason so they can avoid mentioning the real problem of resource depletion.

ASHLEY HALL: There are also calls for those nations which subsidise petrol in their countries to withdraw those subsidies to even out the market if you like, and that, it's said, would bring down the price as now everyone competes on a level playing field. How much difference do you think it will make to the price of oil if those countries that are subsidising withdraw them?

BRUCE ROBINSON: Not a great amount, but I mean, there's a whole lot of people in Australia calling for subsidies. The Opposition and the NRMA suggesting we should drop the excises, effectively subsidising petrol users now. Queensland already subsidises petrol to eight cents a litre.

We're not in a hell of a good position to start criticising other people for the subsidies. And everyone should paying more for oil, for petrol. We should be preparing people for oil shortages, very high oil prices, and all the calls, certainly in Australia, for excise to be reduced, are short sighted and very close to being grossly irresponsible. ...

Excellent Interview - Well worth reading the FULL transcript.

Peak Oil commentators, and all readers of this thread probably are, should consider ASPO Australia's line on rationing/allocation and either contribute to a discussion on how this might work and then "get the word out".

The alternative to this is that the Government will do it for us invoking the National Liquid Fuel Emergency Act provisions. There has already been a call to invoke these provisions for Western Australia over the Apache Gas explosion.

I would also commend the no-nonsense tone in Bruce's comment. As commentators we need to be able to come at the solutions with conviction and clarity, and equally be in a position to address alternatives. Recent posts across the web have addressed Oil Sands, Shale, Deep water etc. We should be across these.

Finally our greatest fear should be the take up of coal-to-liquid....this is bound to be the way the country wants to go....anything to keep us on the road.

Regards

....anything to keep us on the road:


(SMH 27 June)

He was mistaken in saying that the amount of oil exported is still rising. As shown in this TOD article - http://www.theoildrum.com/node/4092 - net exports have fallen over the last two years & the rate of decline is accelerating.

I'd have thought the head of ASPO would be better informed about such a crucial issue. Otherwise a good interview though.