you're right, and if I could do it with six months of 2008 data now I would! :-)

since the data was there, it was easy to add it. it helps to show how the trend of 2007 has changed. Saudi/Iran/Kuwait/UAE all pumping a lot more than their average for last year. Can they maintain it? We'll watch the scales through the year.. I certainly expect to see them tip back towards evenly balanced as more data comes in..

Phil.

Great analysis, Phil!

As I have the forecast data already, here are a couple of more charts for you.

C&C for Jan 2008 was 74.47 mbd. I think Feb 2008 might be a little higher but could be the peak month for 2008.

click to enlarge

2009 forecast is a worry as production decreases from declining countries far exceeds production increases from increasing countries.

click to enlarge